It’s officially Super Bowl week. Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be looking to take advantage of being the first team to ever play the Super Bowl in their home stadium against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, February 7 at 6:30 P.M. Eastern.
Today let’s take a look at a few touchdown props for Buccaneers players. We’ll break down who we can expect to see dancing in the end zone Sunday night and where the best value bets are.
In a game projected to be high-scoring, with an over/under set at 56.5, picking a few touchdown props is a great way to get in on the action on every play.
Super Bowl LV Touchdowns: Leonard Fournette (+120)
My favorite player prop of the weekend is all things Leonard Fournette. There’s a significant advantage for the Buccaneers rushing attack against a porous Chiefs run defense.
Fournette is at the helm for the Tampa Bay backfield and is currently listed at +120 to score a touchdown. Thus far, the former Jaguar has scored in all three postseason games and should be in an excellent position to find the end zone again.
The Chiefs' run defense is ranked 31st in the league, according to DVOA rankings, and 23rd in the league on Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay has a strong run-blocking unit and a top ten rushing offense. As the biggest advantage of the game, it’s imperative we get shares. Consider taking Ronald Jones to score as well, currently at +225.
Super Bowl LV Touchdowns: Rob Gronkowski (+225)
Brady’s old friend Rob Gronkowski has had a quiet postseason thus far, failing to score. He has had a few drops in the end zone, proof that the volume and opportunity exists.
As is always the case with touchdown props, it just takes one. Gronk was second this season among Tampa Bay pass-catchers in red zone targets and has undoubtedly played in his fair share of Super Bowls.
If Gronk can take advantage of an average Kansas City secondary, it would be a nice payout for bettors, with touchdown odds set at +225.
Super Bowl LV Touchdowns: Chris Godwin (+150)
When betting touchdown odds, the best advice I can give is to follow the opportunity. It’s sound logic: find the receiver getting the ball. More targets mean more chances in the end zone.
The presence of Mike Evans has opened things up for Godwin this postseason. It’s Godwin who leads the Buccaneers in targets in their three playoff games, with 28. He’s scored just once, though he had scored in each of his last three games of the regular season.
Placing more touchdown props for the Tampa Bay passing game gives us an insurance policy in case the Chiefs' offense can’t be stopped. If Kansas City does go up big in a hurry, as they did in Week 12, we can expect the passing volume to go up, thus benefiting Godwin.
If the game is close, all the same. Brady has shown trust in Godwin that we should not underestimate. At +150 to score, it’s a better value than Evans, who is listed at +125.